Original S1 output · Material changes only

Country Risk Change Ledger

A reproducible record of countries whose published S1 composite score or qualitative band changed. Unchanged nightly recomputations are excluded.

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20 September 2026 · score change

Latvia

917 (+8)

Band: lowlow.

Changed groups: conflict (low → moderate).

19 September 2026 · score change

Latvia

179 (-8)

Band: lowlow.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

10 September 2026 · score change

Saudi Arabia

5159 (+8)

Band: highhigh.

Changed groups: conflict (moderate → high).

7 September 2026 · band change

Comoros

8188 (+7)

Band: highsevere.

Changed groups: conflict (low → moderate).

6 September 2026 · band change

Barbados

1522 (+7)

Band: lowmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

4 September 2026 · score change

Malta

3443 (+9)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Changed groups: conflict (low → moderate).

3 September 2026 · band change

Comoros

8881 (-7)

Band: severehigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

2 September 2026 · band change

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

5144 (-7)

Band: highmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

2 September 2026 · score change

Kiribati

6051 (-9)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

1 September 2026 · score change

Namibia

6659 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

1 September 2026 · score change

Algeria

5951 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

31 August 2026 · score change

Guinea-Bissau

95100 (+5)

Band: severesevere.

Changed groups: conflict (low → moderate).

29 August 2026 · score change

Guinea-Bissau

10095 (-5)

Band: severesevere.

Changed groups: conflict (moderate → low).

28 August 2026 · score change

Guinea-Bissau

95100 (+5)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

28 August 2026 · score change

Bosnia and Herzegovina

6673 (+7)

Band: highhigh.

Changed groups: conflict (moderate → high).

27 August 2026 · score change

Russia

9588 (-7)

Band: severesevere.

Changed groups: conflict (severe → high).

27 August 2026 · band change

Dominican Republic

5144 (-7)

Band: highmoderate.

Changed groups: conflict (moderate → low).

26 August 2026 · score change

Palau

6860 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

26 August 2026 · band change

Dominican Republic

4451 (+7)

Band: moderatehigh.

Changed groups: conflict (low → moderate).

25 August 2026 · score change

Ecuador

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Trinidad and Tobago

3729 (-8)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · band change

Thailand

5144 (-7)

Band: highmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Togo

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Suriname

5951 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Senegal

6659 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Changed groups: environmental (severe → high).

24 August 2026 · band change

Palestine

9077 (-13)

Band: severehigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Nepal

7381 (+8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Netherlands

90 (-9)

Band: lowlow.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

North Macedonia

4437 (-7)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Monaco

5162 (+11)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

India

6673 (+7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Gambia

7366 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Changed groups: environmental (severe → high).

24 August 2026 · score change

Ghana

7366 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · band change

Cameroon

8188 (+7)

Band: highsevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Bosnia and Herzegovina

5966 (+7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Bangladesh

8895 (+7)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Burkina Faso

10095 (-5)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 August 2026 · score change

Benin

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · band change

Vietnam

8881 (-7)

Band: severehigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Turkmenistan

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Tajikistan

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Singapore

2634 (+8)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Senegal

7366 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · band change

Saudi Arabia

4451 (+7)

Band: moderatehigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Russia

10095 (-5)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · band change

Qatar

5137 (-14)

Band: highmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Paraguay

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Oman

7359 (-14)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Mauritius

3729 (-8)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Malta

4334 (-9)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Lesotho

7366 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Kuwait

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · band change

Hong Kong

1751 (+34)

Band: lowhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Gambia

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Egypt

7366 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · band change

Dominican Republic

5144 (-7)

Band: highmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Cyprus

2634 (+8)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Cuba

5951 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Bhutan

5159 (+8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · band change

Brunei

1726 (+9)

Band: lowmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Belarus

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Bahrain

6860 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Burundi

10095 (-5)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Azerbaijan

6659 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · band change

United Arab Emirates

5144 (-7)

Band: highmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

23 August 2026 · score change

Samoa

2634 (+8)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

22 August 2026 · band change

Turkey

4466 (+22)

Band: moderatehigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

21 August 2026 · score change

Russia

95100 (+5)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

21 August 2026 · score change

Nauru

6051 (-9)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

21 August 2026 · score change

India

7366 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

17 August 2026 · score change

Dominican Republic

5951 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

16 August 2026 · score change

Morocco

3744 (+7)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

15 August 2026 · score change

Latvia

917 (+8)

Band: lowlow.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

15 August 2026 · score change

Lesotho

8173 (-8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

14 August 2026 · band change

Saudi Arabia

5144 (-7)

Band: highmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

13 August 2026 · band change

Saudi Arabia

4451 (+7)

Band: moderatehigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

13 August 2026 · band change

Jamaica

5144 (-7)

Band: highmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

12 August 2026 · score change

Libya

95100 (+5)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

10 August 2026 · score change

Guinea-Bissau

10095 (-5)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

8 August 2026 · score change

Guinea-Bissau

95100 (+5)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

8 August 2026 · score change

Ethiopia

8895 (+7)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

6 August 2026 · score change

Guinea-Bissau

10095 (-5)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

5 August 2026 · score change

Rwanda

6659 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

4 August 2026 · score change

Trinidad and Tobago

4437 (-7)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

4 August 2026 · band change

Honduras

8881 (-7)

Band: severehigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

2 August 2026 · score change

Sweden

09 (+9)

Band: lowlow.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

2 August 2026 · score change

Poland

917 (+8)

Band: lowlow.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

2 August 2026 · score change

Monaco

6251 (-11)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

2 August 2026 · band change

Italy

1726 (+9)

Band: lowmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

1 August 2026 · score change

Trinidad and Tobago

3744 (+7)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

1 August 2026 · band change

Italy

2617 (-9)

Band: moderatelow.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

31 July 2026 · score change

Bahrain

7768 (-9)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

30 July 2026 · band change

Italy

1726 (+9)

Band: lowmoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

30 July 2026 · score change

France

09 (+9)

Band: lowlow.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

27 July 2026 · score change

Peru

6659 (-7)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

25 July 2026 · score change

Djibouti

7381 (+8)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

25 July 2026 · score change

Bahrain

6877 (+9)

Band: highhigh.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

24 July 2026 · score change

Saudi Arabia

3744 (+7)

Band: moderatemoderate.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.

22 July 2026 · score change

Nicaragua

9588 (-7)

Band: severesevere.

Group-level detail was not stored for this legacy observation; no driver is inferred.